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Breaking Down the Numbers

To objectively evaluate players, we are forced to use statistics. Some of these include the traditional passing stats, while others involve strength of schedule. We must also look back on past winners. One heavy bias is that the team must be ranked highly, or else he better have phenomenal stats. Therefore, National Championship contention is rated heavily. Additionally, win-loss record of both the quarterback and his opponents are evaluated. We also look at the quarterback's stats as compared to his opponent's defensive averages. When it is all normalized and tallied, at the top of our list stands a quarterback of a highly ranked team, with solid numbers against solid competition. Here's the criteria:

Traditional Stats: Yards, Completion %, Yards/Att, TD, TD/INT, Rating
Strength of Schedule: Opponents' record, Opponents Pass Defense
Team Success: AP and Coaches' Poll, W-L Record
Normalization: Data is compared to average
In the end, all values are added and weighted, with National Ranking being heaviest

Player
Rating
Andre' Woodson, Kentucky
18.81
Matt Ryan, Boston College
17.61
Colt Brennan, Hawaii
16.85
Tim Tebow, Florida
16.33
John David Booty, USC
16.13
Brian Brohm, Louisville
15.70
Pat White, West Virginia
12.57

The combination of good numbers and Top 10 rankings leave Woodson and Ryan atop the board. Brennan and Brohm, though statistically superior to all, are hurt by their ranking and strength of schedule. Tebow was hurt by the loss, but has potential to head back up the list. Booty is helped drastically by being the quarterback for the #1 team in the land, while White does not seem to stand much of a chance.

 

This page was last updated on November 5, 2008
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